Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova
Team pages: Maria Timofeeva · Katerina Siniakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Katerina Siniakova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
6-4 (W-L)
Katerina Siniakova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1531 · Katerina Siniakova 1506
| Maria Timofeeva | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-8.8 | 10.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 69% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Katerina Siniakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Qinwen Zheng Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Yue Yuan WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Victoria Mboko French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Simona Waltert French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/05 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Katerina Siniakova?
Our model gives 57% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.