Tennis · W15 Campos do Jordao · 12/08, 15:00
Prediction: Virginia Crocker vs Mariana Soares
Prediction summary
Winner
Virginia Crocker
Mariana Soares
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Virginia Crocker
6-4 (W-L)
Mariana Soares
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Virginia Crocker 1464 · Mariana Soares 1416
| Virginia Crocker | Mariana Soares | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virginia Crocker (rating 1464 vs 1416).
- Note: Mariana Soares makes many double faults (12/match).
Statistics
| Virginia Crocker | Mariana Soares | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.8 | 7.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 12 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 49% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 59.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virginia Crocker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Vitoria Zuccon W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Marianne Angel Gonzalez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Danielle Dai Chapman W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Armira Kockinis W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Maxine Murphy W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 31/12 | Zeinab Ayadi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/12 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/12 | Juliette Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mariana Soares
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Mayra Arce Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Chiara Di Genova W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Camila Romero W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Allegra Hodson W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 23/03 | Juliana Rodriguez W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Camila Markus ITF W15 Ribeirao Preto · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Clara Borrasca ITF W15 Ribeirao Preto · Clay |
1-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 19/11 | Maria Eduarda Lages ITF W15 Mogi das Cruzes · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/11 | Ana Cruz ITF W15 Mogi das Cruzes · Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 11/11 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau ITF W15 Criciuma |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virginia Crocker vs Mariana Soares?
Our model gives 74% to Virginia Crocker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.