Tennis · W50 Hamburg · 12/08, 11:00
Prediction: Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Dayeon Back
Team pages: Arina Gabriela Vasilescu · Dayeon Back
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Dayeon Back
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
8-2 (W-L)
Dayeon Back
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 1605 · Dayeon Back 1532
| Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Gabriela Vasilescu (rating 1605 vs 1532).
- Arina Gabriela Vasilescu is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-6.5 | 9.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Mathilde Lollia W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Ayano Shimizu W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Irina Fetecau UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Anna-Marie Weissheim UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Marie Krymlova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Ellen Katzer UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Ingrid Vojcinakova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Dayeon Back
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Julie Pastikova W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Xinxin Yao W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Lea Nilsson W50 Horb |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Madelief Hageman W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Sandra Samir W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Dayeon Back?
Our model gives 62% to Dayeon Back, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.