Tennis · W50 Hamburg · 12/08, 11:00
Prediction: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Marie Vogt
Team pages: Tessa Johanna Brockmann · Marie Vogt
Prediction summary
Winner
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Marie Vogt
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
3-7 (W-L)
Marie Vogt
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tessa Johanna Brockmann 1464 · Marie Vogt 1571
| Tessa Johanna Brockmann | Marie Vogt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Vogt (rating 1464 vs 1571).
- Marie Vogt is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Tessa Johanna Brockmann makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Tessa Johanna Brockmann | Marie Vogt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.5 | 11.7-7.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Laima Vladson W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Fiona Ferro W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Sohyun Park W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Victoria Brand W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Tena Lukas W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Josy Daems W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Teodora Kostovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Marie Vogt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Demi Tran W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Maja Michna W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Federica Trevisan W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Romane Longueville W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Krsko |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Marie Vogt?
Our model gives 55% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.