Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 13/08, 04:00
Prediction: Mikalai Haliak vs Kousuke Ogura
Team pages: Kousuke Ogura
Prediction summary
Winner
Mikalai Haliak
Kousuke Ogura
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mikalai Haliak
2-8 (W-L)
Kousuke Ogura
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikalai Haliak 1431 · Kousuke Ogura 1457
| Mikalai Haliak | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mikalai Haliak | Kousuke Ogura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-9.5 | 10.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikalai Haliak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Liangxuan Liu M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 09/06 | Pedro Sakamoto M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/04 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 08/04 | Akira Santillan M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 01/04 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 31/03 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/03 | Michael Zhu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/02 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 08/02 | Jiri Vesely UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Beale M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikalai Haliak vs Kousuke Ogura?
Our model gives 53% to Mikalai Haliak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.