Tennis · W15 Bucharest · 12/08, 09:00
Prediction: Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Lavinia Luciano
Team pages: Maria Oliver Sanchez · Lavinia Luciano
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Oliver Sanchez
Lavinia Luciano
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Oliver Sanchez
5-5 (W-L)
Lavinia Luciano
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Oliver Sanchez 1453 · Lavinia Luciano 1512
| Maria Oliver Sanchez | Lavinia Luciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lavinia Luciano (rating 1453 vs 1512).
- Note: Lavinia Luciano makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Maria Oliver Sanchez | Lavinia Luciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-9.2 | 9.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 57% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Oliver Sanchez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Victoria Allen W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Indianna Spink W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Mia Chudejova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/06 | Berta Passola W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Vlada Mincheva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Nao Phang Ziyi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lavinia Luciano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Naomi McKenzie W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Sara Mikaca W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Mariia Drobysheva W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Kaja Najzer W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Torino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Nicole Gadient W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Anamaria Federica Oana W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Simona Ogescu W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Alesia Breaz W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Lavinia Luciano?
Our model gives 51% to Lavinia Luciano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.