Tennis · W15 Bucharest · 12/08, 09:00
Prediction: Maria Sara Popa vs Matilde Mariani
Team pages: Maria Sara Popa · Matilde Mariani
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sara Popa
Matilde Mariani
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sara Popa
5-5 (W-L)
Matilde Mariani
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Sara Popa
0–1
Matilde Mariani
(1 last)
- 25 Oct0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sara Popa 1491 · Matilde Mariani 1502
| Maria Sara Popa | Matilde Mariani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Sara Popa 0–1 Matilde Mariani (1).
- Note: Maria Sara Popa makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Matilde Mariani makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Maria Sara Popa | Matilde Mariani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.6 | 9.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Maria Sara Popa 0 – 1 Matilde Mariani (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Sara Popa 0–1 Matilde Mariani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/20 ITF W15 Heraklion | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sara Popa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Claire Liu WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Yara Bartashevich WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Britt Du Pree W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Lian Tran W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Matilde Mariani
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Ioana Maria Sandru W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Hiromi Abe W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Ciara Moore W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Eloise Newberry W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Kristina Paskauskas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Katja Wiersholm W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sara Popa vs Matilde Mariani?
Our model gives 67% to Maria Sara Popa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.