Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 11/08, 21:00
Prediction: Jeffrey John Wolf vs Toby Samuel
Team pages: Jeffrey John Wolf · Toby Samuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeffrey John Wolf
Toby Samuel
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jeffrey John Wolf
7-3 (W-L)
Toby Samuel
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeffrey John Wolf 1600 · Toby Samuel 1566
| Jeffrey John Wolf | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jeffrey John Wolf dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 53.8% break avg.
- Note: Toby Samuel makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jeffrey John Wolf | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.3 | 13.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.3% | 74% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.5
Over 22.5: 54% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 46% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeffrey John Wolf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Toby Samuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Jakub Mensik Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 26/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeffrey John Wolf vs Toby Samuel?
Our model gives 51% to Toby Samuel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.