Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 11/08, 12:30
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Lisa Zaar
Team pages: Lia Karatancheva · Lisa Zaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Lisa Zaar
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
4-6 (W-L)
Lisa Zaar
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1561 · Lisa Zaar 1439
| Lia Karatancheva | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lia Karatancheva (rating 1561 vs 1439).
- Lia Karatancheva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.6 | 11-13 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 51.5% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Nika Hurkacz WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Arantxa Rus W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Chloe Paquet W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Daniela Vismane W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Lisa Zaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Elena Malygina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Lisa Zaar?
Our model gives 53% to Lia Karatancheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.