Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 12/08, 10:00
Prediction: Darja Semenistaja vs Denislava Glushkova
Team pages: Darja Semenistaja · Denislava Glushkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Darja Semenistaja
Denislava Glushkova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Darja Semenistaja
4-6 (W-L)
Denislava Glushkova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darja Semenistaja 1429 · Denislava Glushkova 1572
| Darja Semenistaja | Denislava Glushkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denislava Glushkova (rating 1429 vs 1572).
- Denislava Glushkova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Darja Semenistaja | Denislava Glushkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.7 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-14 | 11.4-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darja Semenistaja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Julia Riera WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Antonia Ruzic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nao Hibino Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Siskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 10/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Denislava Glushkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Nahia Berecoechea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Mirjana Jovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Dayeon Back W50 Horb |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 24/07 | Lola Giza W50 Horb |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Horb |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Amy Sucha W50 Horb |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darja Semenistaja vs Denislava Glushkova?
Our model gives 54% to Darja Semenistaja, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.