Tennis · W35 Bydgoszcz · 11/08, 11:30
Prediction: Amelia Paszun vs Rikke De Koning
Team pages: Amelia Paszun · Rikke De Koning
Prediction summary
Winner
Amelia Paszun
Rikke De Koning
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Amelia Paszun
3-7 (W-L)
Rikke De Koning
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amelia Paszun 1467 · Rikke De Koning 1531
| Amelia Paszun | Rikke De Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rikke De Koning (rating 1467 vs 1531).
- Rikke De Koning is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Amelia Paszun makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Amelia Paszun | Rikke De Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.5 | 9.7-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 62.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amelia Paszun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Daria Gorska W15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska Polish National Championships Women |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Anna Ozerova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Laia Petretic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Adithya Karunaratne W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Viktoria Kurz W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Rikke De Koning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Laia Petretic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Tea Kovacevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Sophie Greiner W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Gloria De Santis W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Emira Diabate W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Sara Cakarevic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amelia Paszun vs Rikke De Koning?
Our model gives 57% to Rikke De Koning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.