Tennis · W50 Hamburg · 12/08, 11:00
Prediction: Deborah Chiesa vs Anastasia Zolotareva
Team pages: Deborah Chiesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Deborah Chiesa
Anastasia Zolotareva
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Deborah Chiesa
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Zolotareva
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deborah Chiesa 1542 · Anastasia Zolotareva 1492
| Deborah Chiesa | Anastasia Zolotareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deborah Chiesa (rating 1542 vs 1492).
Statistics
| Deborah Chiesa | Anastasia Zolotareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.8 | 9.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deborah Chiesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Eva Bennemann W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Andreea Prisacariu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Radka Zelnickova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Aneta Laboutkova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Anastasia Zolotareva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Briana Szabo W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Michaela Bayerlova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/05 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/05 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Chengyiyi Yuan WTA Huzhou · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Xiyu Wang W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Varvara Panshina W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deborah Chiesa vs Anastasia Zolotareva?
Our model gives 62% to Deborah Chiesa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.