Tennis · W35 Bydgoszcz · 12/08, 11:00
Prediction: Polina Leykina vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Team pages: Polina Leykina · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Leykina
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Estimated games
18.9
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Leykina
10-0 (W-L)
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polina Leykina
1–0
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
(1 last)
- 08 Jul2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Leykina 1599 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1541
| Polina Leykina | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Leykina (rating 1599 vs 1541).
- Head-to-head: Polina Leykina 1–0 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (1).
Statistics
| Polina Leykina | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.4 | 10.5-6.5 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 63% |
| Break % | 64.2% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
H2H · Polina Leykina 1 – 0 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polina Leykina 1–0 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/19 ITF W60 Versmold | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Leykina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Jana Hossam Salah W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Jenny Duerst W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Abigayel Vosloo W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Jahnie Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Julia Grabher W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Camilla Zanolini W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Alyssa Reguer W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Annemarie Lazar W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Leykina vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?
Our model gives 68% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.