Tennis · W15 Bucharest · 11/08, 09:30
Prediction: Alexia Clara Adascalitei vs Aurora Urso
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexia Clara Adascalitei
Aurora Urso
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alexia Clara Adascalitei
5-5 (W-L)
Aurora Urso
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexia Clara Adascalitei 1436 · Aurora Urso 1486
| Alexia Clara Adascalitei | Aurora Urso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aurora Urso (rating 1436 vs 1486).
Statistics
| Alexia Clara Adascalitei | Aurora Urso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-11.4 | 9.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54% | 50.8% |
| Break % | 33% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexia Clara Adascalitei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05 | Alexia-Shara Iancu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 28/02 | Naema Labib UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/02 | Simona Ogescu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Alexia-Shara Iancu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/02 | Ana Ioana Varsa UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/02 | Oana Georgeta Simion UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/11 | Veronica Cervac UTR Pro Bucharest Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/11 | Karina Maria Capuzu UTR Pro Bucharest Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/11 | Sara Cozma UTR Pro Bucharest Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/11 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni UTR Pro Bucharest Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Aurora Urso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Maria De La Paz Alberto W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Indianna Spink W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Vlada Mincheva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Andrea Roots W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Reshma V S S Challarapu W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/05 | Laia Petretic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Eva Lopez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexia Clara Adascalitei vs Aurora Urso?
Our model gives 55% to Aurora Urso, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.