Tennis · W15 Bucharest · 11/08, 08:00
Prediction: Simona Ogescu vs Valentina Abril Bruno
Team pages: Simona Ogescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Simona Ogescu
Valentina Abril Bruno
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Ogescu
8-2 (W-L)
Valentina Abril Bruno
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Ogescu 1525 · Valentina Abril Bruno 1496
| Simona Ogescu | Valentina Abril Bruno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Simona Ogescu | Valentina Abril Bruno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.9 | 8.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Ogescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Veronika Kulhava W15 Cluj Napoca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefania Bojica W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Alexia-Shara Iancu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Thea Marcu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Alexia-Shara Iancu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Valentina Abril Bruno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Karolina Kozakova W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Madrid |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Sandra Ciobica W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/03 | Luisina Giovannini W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Sol Rabin W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/03 | Katia Gabotto Loredo W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 19/01 | Michaela Bayerlova W35 Buenos Aires |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/01 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Benedetta Ortenzi ITF W15 Malta |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Ogescu vs Valentina Abril Bruno?
Our model gives 73% to Simona Ogescu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.