Tennis · W15 Bucharest · 12/08, 09:00
Prediction: Maia Ilinca Burcescu vs Federica Sacco
Team pages: Maia Ilinca Burcescu · Federica Sacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Federica Sacco
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
7-3 (W-L)
Federica Sacco
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maia Ilinca Burcescu 1469 · Federica Sacco 1537
| Maia Ilinca Burcescu | Federica Sacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Sacco (rating 1469 vs 1537).
- Federica Sacco is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maia Ilinca Burcescu makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Maia Ilinca Burcescu | Federica Sacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.1 | 11.9-8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Isabelle Cherny W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 23/04 | Fabienne Gettwart W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/04 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/12 | Yasmine Mansouri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/12 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/12 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/12 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 16/10 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Federica Sacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Beatrice Stagno W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Annemarie Lazar W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Maria Mikhailova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maia Ilinca Burcescu vs Federica Sacco?
Our model gives 54% to Federica Sacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.