Tennis · M15 Tianjin · 11/08, 07:00
Prediction: Kousuke Ogura vs Yuta Kikuchi
Team pages: Kousuke Ogura · Yuta Kikuchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Kousuke Ogura
Yuta Kikuchi
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kousuke Ogura
5-5 (W-L)
Yuta Kikuchi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kousuke Ogura 1481 · Yuta Kikuchi 1474
| Kousuke Ogura | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kousuke Ogura | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.7 | 8.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Taiki Takizawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Jeremy Beale M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Weiwen Pan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Charlie Pade M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/05 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Yue Xia M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 13/04 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kousuke Ogura vs Yuta Kikuchi?
Our model gives 54% to Kousuke Ogura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.