Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 12/08, 04:00
Prediction: Yushan Shao vs Natsuki Yoshimoto
Team pages: Yushan Shao · Natsuki Yoshimoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Yushan Shao
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Yushan Shao
6-4 (W-L)
Natsuki Yoshimoto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yushan Shao 1531 · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1524
| Yushan Shao | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yushan Shao | Natsuki Yoshimoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-7.5 | 12-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 44% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yushan Shao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Anna Yang W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Yihan Qu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Marine Szostak W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Xiaowei Li W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/04 | Varvara Panshina W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Jizelle Sibai W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yushan Shao vs Natsuki Yoshimoto?
Our model gives 54% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.