Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 12/08, 04:00
Prediction: Sae Noguchi vs Yingqun Sun
Team pages: Sae Noguchi · Yingqun Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Sae Noguchi
Yingqun Sun
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sae Noguchi
7-3 (W-L)
Yingqun Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sae Noguchi 1547 · Yingqun Sun 1462
| Sae Noguchi | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sae Noguchi (rating 1547 vs 1462).
Statistics
| Sae Noguchi | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.5 | 10-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 61.5% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sae Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Junhan Zhang W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Anna Snigireva W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Shiho Tsujioka W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Nagisa Suzuki W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Anastasiia Gureva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Maralgoo Chogsomjav W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sijia Wei W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Jinyu Zhou W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/05 | Yidi Yang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sae Noguchi vs Yingqun Sun?
Our model gives 69% to Sae Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.