Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 12/08, 04:00
Prediction: Duanrui Gao vs Michika Ozeki
Team pages: Michika Ozeki
Prediction summary
Winner
Duanrui Gao
Michika Ozeki
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Duanrui Gao
2-8 (W-L)
Michika Ozeki
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duanrui Gao 1386 · Michika Ozeki 1436
| Duanrui Gao | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michika Ozeki (rating 1386 vs 1436).
- Note: Duanrui Gao makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Duanrui Gao | Michika Ozeki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 11% (9) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.3-11.5 | 9.2-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 48.2% | 52.5% |
| Break % | 33% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duanrui Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Xinyi Nong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Yidi Yang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Tiana Tian Deng W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Zijun Jiang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 06/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Yuhan Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Le Yi Liu W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Yajing Cao W35 Anning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/03 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Michika Ozeki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Yihan Qu W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Donna Le Roux W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jahnie Van Zyl W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Milla Kotze W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Jiangxue Han W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Zhuoxuan Bai W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Meiling Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duanrui Gao vs Michika Ozeki?
Our model gives 74% to Michika Ozeki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.