Tennis · WTA Toronto · 11/08, 18:30
Prediction: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff
Team pages: Belinda Bencic · Coco Gauff
Prediction summary
Winner
Belinda Bencic
Coco Gauff
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Belinda Bencic
9-1 (W-L)
Coco Gauff
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Belinda Bencic
1–6
Coco Gauff
(7 last)
- 05 Jul1-2 13-16L
- 25 Mar1-2 12-13L
- 30 Sept1-2 14-17L
- 28 Apr0-2 6-12L
- 12 Mar2-1 15-13W
- 19 Jan1-2 10-17L
- 05 Aug0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belinda Bencic 1561 · Coco Gauff 1575
| Belinda Bencic | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Belinda Bencic 1–6 Coco Gauff (7).
- Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Belinda Bencic | Coco Gauff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.1 | 14-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.80
H2H · Belinda Bencic 1 – 6 Coco Gauff (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belinda Bencic 1–6 Coco Gauff
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Wimbledon Women | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/03/26 WTA Miami | 1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 30/09/25 WTA Beijing | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/04/25 WTA Madrid | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/03/25 WTA Indian Wells | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/01/25 Australian Open Women | 1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 05/08/23 WTA Washington | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belinda Bencic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Caty McNally French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Solana Sierra Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Tamara Korpatsch Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff?
Our model gives 55% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.