Tennis · W50 Hamburg · 10/08, 13:00
Prediction: Sophie Greiner vs Merel Hoedt
Team pages: Sophie Greiner · Merel Hoedt
Prediction summary
Winner
Sophie Greiner
Merel Hoedt
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sophie Greiner
6-4 (W-L)
Merel Hoedt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sophie Greiner 1540 · Merel Hoedt 1479
| Sophie Greiner | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sophie Greiner (rating 1540 vs 1479).
- Sophie Greiner is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Sophie Greiner makes many double faults (5/match).
- Note: Merel Hoedt makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Sophie Greiner | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.9 | 12.2-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sophie Greiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Valentina Steiner W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Angelina Wirges W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Rikke De Koning W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Nina Tepic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Anastasiia Firman W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Milana Maslenkova W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Ariane Paulus W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Merel Hoedt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Anna Petkovic W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Josy Daems W75 Koksijde |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Mara Guth W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Johanne C Svendsen W35 Gentofte |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Matylda Burylo W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Ema Kovacevic W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Marie Vogt W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Dune Vaissaud W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sophie Greiner vs Merel Hoedt?
Our model gives 51% to Sophie Greiner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.