Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Flynn Thomas vs Hernan Casanova
Team pages: Flynn Thomas · Hernan Casanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Flynn Thomas
Hernan Casanova
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Flynn Thomas
5-5 (W-L)
Hernan Casanova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flynn Thomas 1464 · Hernan Casanova 1530
| Flynn Thomas | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hernan Casanova (rating 1464 vs 1530).
- Hernan Casanova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Flynn Thomas makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Flynn Thomas | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.5 | 11.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 40% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flynn Thomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Felix Raser M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Henry Bernet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Batiste Guerra M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/04 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/03 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 23/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flynn Thomas vs Hernan Casanova?
Our model gives 74% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.