Tennis · M25 Koksijde · 10/08, 14:00
Prediction: Jelle Sels vs Lars Goran Verwerft
Team pages: Jelle Sels · Lars Goran Verwerft
Prediction summary
Winner
Jelle Sels
Lars Goran Verwerft
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jelle Sels
5-5 (W-L)
Lars Goran Verwerft
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jelle Sels 1501 · Lars Goran Verwerft 1526
| Jelle Sels | Lars Goran Verwerft | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lars Goran Verwerft makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Jelle Sels | Lars Goran Verwerft | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.8 | 11.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 27% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jelle Sels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Lars Goran Verwerft
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Pablo Trochu M15 Eupen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Murkel Dellien M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Arian Barbic M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Charlie Penman UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Calin Teodor Stirbu UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Jake Dembo UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Milan Markovits UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jelle Sels vs Lars Goran Verwerft?
Our model gives 61% to Jelle Sels, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.