Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 11/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto
Team pages: Rei Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Blanchet
Rei Sakamoto
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Blanchet
2-8 (W-L)
Rei Sakamoto
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Blanchet 1429 · Rei Sakamoto 1502
| Ugo Blanchet | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rei Sakamoto (rating 1429 vs 1502).
- Rei Sakamoto dominates on serve: 11.5 aces and 40.6% break avg.
- Rei Sakamoto is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ugo Blanchet | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-13.1 | 12.8-13.2 |
| Aces | 12.8 | 11.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Blanchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/05 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Charles Broom French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 28/04 | Henri Squire Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Cristian Garin ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/04 | Marko Topo ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jules Leroux Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Anton Matusevich Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Yibing Wu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Pedro Martinez French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto?
Our model gives 66% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.