Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 11/08, 16:00
Prediction: Gauthier Onclin vs Yi Zhou
Team pages: Gauthier Onclin · Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Gauthier Onclin
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gauthier Onclin
6-4 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gauthier Onclin 1515 · Yi Zhou 1506
| Gauthier Onclin | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yi Zhou dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 46.3% break avg.
- Note: Gauthier Onclin makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Gauthier Onclin | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-12.4 | 13-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gauthier Onclin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Michael Geerts Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gauthier Onclin vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 55% to Gauthier Onclin, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.