Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Andrej Nedic
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch · Andrej Nedic
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Andrej Nedic
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
5-5 (W-L)
Andrej Nedic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tom Gentzsch
1–0
Andrej Nedic
(1 last)
- 22 Jul2-1 16-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1614 · Andrej Nedic 1467
| Tom Gentzsch | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1614 vs 1467).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Tom Gentzsch is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tom Gentzsch 1–0 Andrej Nedic (1).
- Note: Tom Gentzsch makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.9 | 9.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Tom Gentzsch 1 – 0 Andrej Nedic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tom Gentzsch 1–0 Andrej Nedic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/26 Challenger Tampere | 2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Andrej Nedic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Andrej Nedic?
Our model gives 65% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.