Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Federico Bondioli
Team pages: Oriol Roca Batalla · Federico Bondioli
Prediction summary
Winner
Oriol Roca Batalla
Federico Bondioli
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oriol Roca Batalla
6-4 (W-L)
Federico Bondioli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriol Roca Batalla 1487 · Federico Bondioli 1547
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Bondioli (rating 1487 vs 1547).
Statistics
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Federico Bondioli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10 | 12-12 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriol Roca Batalla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Niklas Guttau M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Samuele Seghetti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Mihai Razvan Marinescu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Federico Bondioli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriol Roca Batalla vs Federico Bondioli?
Our model gives 54% to Federico Bondioli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.