Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Stefano Travaglia vs Nicolas Kicker
Team pages: Stefano Travaglia · Nicolas Kicker
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano Travaglia
Nicolas Kicker
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano Travaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Nicolas Kicker
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano Travaglia 1473 · Nicolas Kicker 1521
| Stefano Travaglia | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolas Kicker (rating 1473 vs 1521).
Statistics
| Stefano Travaglia | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.4 | 10.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 28.3% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano Travaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Mikrut Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Nicolas Kicker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Yannik Weissmann Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Federico Coria Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano Travaglia vs Nicolas Kicker?
Our model gives 56% to Stefano Travaglia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.