Tennis · M25 Muttenz · 09/08, 13:00
Prediction: Elijah Sanogo vs Lars Aregger
Team pages: Elijah Sanogo
Prediction summary
Winner
Elijah Sanogo
Lars Aregger
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elijah Sanogo
2-8 (W-L)
Lars Aregger
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elijah Sanogo 1451 · Lars Aregger 1446
| Elijah Sanogo | Lars Aregger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lars Aregger makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Elijah Sanogo | Lars Aregger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-12.9 | 8.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elijah Sanogo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Pierre Antoine Faut M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Matisse Martin M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/04 | Jeremy Schifris Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/04 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Lars Aregger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Andrin Casanova M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Nicola Rispoli M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Matic Hribar M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Matyas Kozlovsky M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Ilan Hediger M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Tanguy Genier M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 02/03 | Sizya Ernest Kivanda M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Ilias Zimmermann ITF M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Adrien Burdet ITF M25 Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elijah Sanogo vs Lars Aregger?
Our model gives 73% to Elijah Sanogo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.