Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 09/08, 12:00
Prediction: Dunja Maric vs Elina Nepliy
Team pages: Dunja Maric · Elina Nepliy
Prediction summary
Winner
Dunja Maric
Elina Nepliy
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dunja Maric
7-3 (W-L)
Elina Nepliy
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunja Maric 1549 · Elina Nepliy 1517
| Dunja Maric | Elina Nepliy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dunja Maric | Elina Nepliy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.3 | 11.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunja Maric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Miriana Tona W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Federica Bilardo W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Ipek Oz W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Isabella Maria Serban W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Alevtina Ibragimova W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Meta Marenk W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Elina Nepliy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Qianhui Tang WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Ksenia Krupenina W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Diae El Jardi W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/06 | Nina Vargova W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Sarah Iliev W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Alina Mokrynska W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunja Maric vs Elina Nepliy?
Our model gives 58% to Dunja Maric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.