Tennis · W50 Hamburg · 09/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ayano Shimizu vs Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Team pages: Ayano Shimizu · Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ayano Shimizu
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ayano Shimizu
4-6 (W-L)
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayano Shimizu 1459 · Arina Gabriela Vasilescu 1591
| Ayano Shimizu | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Gabriela Vasilescu (rating 1459 vs 1591).
- Arina Gabriela Vasilescu is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ayano Shimizu | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.3 | 11.9-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 52.8% | 63% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayano Shimizu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Yuki Naito W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Reina Goto W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Liuyan An W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Hikaru Sato W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Kanon Sawashiro W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Sara Saito W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Valentina Ryser W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Emerson Jones W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Irina Fetecau UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Anna-Marie Weissheim UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Marie Krymlova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Ellen Katzer UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Ingrid Vojcinakova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Lidia Encheva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Laura Boehner W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayano Shimizu vs Arina Gabriela Vasilescu?
Our model gives 58% to Arina Gabriela Vasilescu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.