Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 08/08, 19:30

Prediction: Justin Chung vs Pavel Bushuev

Team pages: Justin Chung · Pavel Bushuev

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Justin Chung Pavel Bushuev
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Chung 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWWLWW
Pavel Bushuev 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Justin Chung 1584 · Pavel Bushuev 1502
Justin ChungPavel Bushuev
Our model62%38%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justin Chung (rating 1584 vs 1502).
  • Justin Chung is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Justin ChungPavel Bushuev
Win %80%50%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.4-8.310.1-10.1
Aces0.74.1
Double faults2.93.8
1st serve %63.9%64.6%
Break %41.3%47.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Justin Chung

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/08 Miles Clark
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/08 Rohan Sachdev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Robert Yang
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/08 Anthony Turchi
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/01 Muhammad Dossani
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/01 Raul Garcia
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
05/01 Nicolas Iantosca
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
02/01 Nischal Spurling
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/01 Cassius Chinlund
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 14-12 W
29/12 Spencer Johnson
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Pavel Bushuev

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/08 Jacob Brumm
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/08 Perry Di Giulio
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 George Hakopian
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/08 Holland Snell
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
25/07 Andy Nguyen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/07 Rishvanth Krishna
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/07 David Wu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 13-10 W
22/07 Lorenzo Brunkow
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
21/07 Alexander Guajardo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/07 Connor Robb-Wilcox
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Justin Chung vs Pavel Bushuev?

Our model gives 62% to Justin Chung, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.