Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: James McGloughlin vs Charles Frey

Team pages: James McGloughlin · Charles Frey

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
James McGloughlin Charles Frey
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
James McGloughlin 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLLWWLW
Charles Frey 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · James McGloughlin 1510 · Charles Frey 1418
James McGloughlinCharles Frey
Our model63%37%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James McGloughlin (rating 1510 vs 1418).
  • James McGloughlin is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

James McGloughlinCharles Frey
Win %60%20%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 20% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.20.6-1.6
Games (G-P)11.1-11.68.9-12.5
Aces5.73.2
Double faults3.11.8
1st serve %68.7%59.6%
Break %35.3%34.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

James McGloughlin

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Giuseppe Bonaiuti
UTR Pro Auburn · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
07/08 Iker Urribarrens
UTR Pro Auburn · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
05/08 Dani Szabo
UTR Pro Auburn · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
04/08 Nicholas Patrick
UTR Pro Auburn · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
28/07 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Dublin
0-2 7-12 L
27/07 Niels Villard
M15 Dublin
2-1 11-12 W
26/07 Alexander Watanabe Eriksson
M15 Dublin
2-1 9-10 W
04/07 Dylan Davies
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
03/07 Niels Lootsma
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-1 14-15 W
02/07 Ondrej Valek
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
1-2 14-15 L

Charles Frey

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Francesco Cordova
UTR Pro Auburn · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
06/08 Stewart Aronson
UTR Pro Auburn · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
05/08 Blake Hilsen
UTR Pro Auburn · Hard
1-2 12-17 L
04/08 Thomas Kennedy
UTR Pro Auburn · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
20/06 Brett Pearson
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
19/06 Solal Pont
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
19/06 Henry Ren
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
18/06 Nikola Plavsic
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
17/06 Graeme Angus
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/12 Dante Teramo
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in James McGloughlin vs Charles Frey?

Our model gives 70% to James McGloughlin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.