Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 07/08, 11:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kym

Team pages: Lorenzo Giustino · Jerome Kym

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Lorenzo Giustino Jerome Kym
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Giustino 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWLL
Jerome Kym 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1526 · Jerome Kym 1557
Lorenzo GiustinoJerome Kym
Our model46%54%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lorenzo GiustinoJerome Kym
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.6-1
Games (G-P)12.2-12.313.5-12.4
Aces58.2
Double faults3.33.1
1st serve %70.7%77.8%
Break %48.5%32.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Giustino

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Matej Dodig
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
04/08 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
28/07 Olle Wallin
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
19/07 Federico Cina
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
18/07 Nico Hipfl
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
1-2 9-14 L
12/07 Florian Broska
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
11/07 Miguel Damas
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/07 Jack Loge
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
08/07 Emilien Demanet
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Jerome Kym

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/08 Max Houkes
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
04/08 Niels McDonald
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/07 Philip Henning
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
20/07 Jay Clarke
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 13-14 W
16/07 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
14/07 Dylan Dietrich
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-1 16-18 W
11/07 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Iasi · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
10/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
08/07 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
06/07 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-1 14-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kym?

Our model gives 67% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.