Tennis · M25 Southaven · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kaylan Bigun vs Naoya Honda
Team pages: Kaylan Bigun · Naoya Honda
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaylan Bigun
Naoya Honda
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kaylan Bigun
6-4 (W-L)
Naoya Honda
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaylan Bigun 1508 · Naoya Honda 1529
| Kaylan Bigun | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kaylan Bigun | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.2 | 11.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaylan Bigun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Sam Landau M25 Southaven |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Jerry Roddick M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Naoya Honda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Ryan Dickerson M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Keaton Hance M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | William Jansen M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/07 | Nikita Filin M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Jack Satterfield M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaylan Bigun vs Naoya Honda?
Our model gives 54% to Kaylan Bigun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.