Tennis · W100 Landisville · 06/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Team pages: Ekaterina Ovcharenko · Ekaterine Gorgodze
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Ekaterine Gorgodze
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1484 · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1532
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterine Gorgodze (rating 1484 vs 1532).
- Ekaterine Gorgodze is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Ekaterine Gorgodze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.5 | 11.6-8.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 61% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Stephanie Yakoff W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Savannah Broadus W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Tori Kinard W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Ankita Raina WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 05/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Xiaodi You W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 12/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 11/07 | Teodora Kostovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Julia Riera W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Valentina Steiner W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Mia Pohankova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Julia Riera W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Ekaterine Gorgodze?
Our model gives 72% to Ekaterine Gorgodze, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.