Tennis · M15 Poprad · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alexey Aleshchev vs Karol Filar
Team pages: Karol Filar
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexey Aleshchev
Karol Filar
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Aleshchev
4-6 (W-L)
Karol Filar
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexey Aleshchev 1457 · Karol Filar 1528
| Alexey Aleshchev | Karol Filar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karol Filar (rating 1457 vs 1528).
Statistics
| Alexey Aleshchev | Karol Filar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.4 | 13.1-12 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexey Aleshchev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Peter Zavacky M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Ryo Minakata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Heinrich Rootman M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/04 | Franco Ribero M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 27/04 | Adrian Arcon M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 23/04 | Giulio Perego M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Karol Filar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Tomas Lanik M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 26/06 | Alan Wazny M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Adam Majchrzak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Kacper Knitter M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alan Wazny Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/05 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Nemanja Malesevic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Radovan Michalik M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexey Aleshchev vs Karol Filar?
Our model gives 75% to Karol Filar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.