Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Aya El Aouni
Team pages: Rebecca Munk Mortensen · Aya El Aouni
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Aya El Aouni
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
6-4 (W-L)
Aya El Aouni
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1561 · Aya El Aouni 1566
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | Aya El Aouni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | Aya El Aouni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.7 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-7.6 | 10.9-6.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Vittoria Paganetti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Aurora Corvi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Hana Djedovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 24/07 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Marie Vogt W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Aya El Aouni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Darya Velikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Darya Velikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Imogen Haddad W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Aya El Aouni?
Our model gives 50% to Rebecca Munk Mortensen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.