Tennis · M15 Poprad · 06/08, 10:00

Prediction: Leyton Rivera vs David Bakonyi

Team pages: Leyton Rivera · David Bakonyi

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Leyton Rivera David Bakonyi
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Leyton Rivera 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLLW
David Bakonyi 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leyton Rivera 1504 · David Bakonyi 1441
Leyton RiveraDavid Bakonyi
Our model59%41%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyton Rivera (rating 1504 vs 1441).
  • Note: David Bakonyi makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Leyton RiveraDavid Bakonyi
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 0% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.10.7-1.4
Games (G-P)10.8-11.38.9-10.1
Aces1.42.1
Double faults3.15
1st serve %64.7%71%
Break %44.4%42.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leyton Rivera

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Jesse De Jager
M15 Poprad
2-0 12-6 W
29/07 Matic Kriznik
M15 Wels
0-2 5-13 L
21/07 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 5-12 L
11/07 Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Lodz
1-2 13-18 L
10/07 Jakub Jedrzejczak
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Petr Michnev
M15 Lodz
2-0 14-11 W
08/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Maximilian Figl
M15 Store
0-2 6-12 L
26/06 Stefan Seifert
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
25/06 Markus Molder
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W

David Bakonyi

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Jan Klimas
M15 Poprad
2-0 12-7 W
03/08 Andriy Poritskyy
M15 Poprad
2-0 12-2 W
28/07 Erik Schiessl
M15 Wels
0-2 5-13 L
22/07 Fares Zakaria
M25 Ollersbach
1-2 10-13 L
21/07 Vyacheslav Ovchinnikov
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Kolos Kincses
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
02/06 Lorenzo Angelini
M15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
30/05 Milan Ristov
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
29/05 Obrad Markovski
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
28/05 Andreas Loizas
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leyton Rivera vs David Bakonyi?

Our model gives 63% to Leyton Rivera, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.