Tennis · W35 Southaven · 05/08, 17:30
Prediction: Annika Penickova vs Carlota Moreno
Team pages: Annika Penickova · Carlota Moreno
Prediction summary
Winner
Annika Penickova
Carlota Moreno
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Annika Penickova
7-3 (W-L)
Carlota Moreno
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Annika Penickova 1552 · Carlota Moreno 1500
| Annika Penickova | Carlota Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annika Penickova (rating 1552 vs 1500).
- Note: Carlota Moreno makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Annika Penickova | Carlota Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.4 | 8.7-8.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annika Penickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Florence |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Florence |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Carolina Gomez W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Xin Tong Wang W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Carlota Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Ahmani Guichard W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Florence |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Kelly Keller W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Margaux Maquet W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 09/04 | Ava Markham W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/04 | Sarah Ye W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/02 | Thaisa Grana Pedretti W15 Palm Coast |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Emily De Oliviera W15 Palm Coast |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annika Penickova vs Carlota Moreno?
Our model gives 67% to Annika Penickova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.