Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moller
Team pages: Raul Brancaccio · Elmer Moller
Prediction summary
Winner
Raul Brancaccio
Elmer Moller
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Raul Brancaccio
3-7 (W-L)
Elmer Moller
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raul Brancaccio 1458 · Elmer Moller 1530
| Raul Brancaccio | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elmer Moller (rating 1458 vs 1530).
- Elmer Moller is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Raul Brancaccio | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-13.3 | 11.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raul Brancaccio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Arthur Gea Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Elmer Moller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Luca Potenza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Andy Andrade Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moller?
Our model gives 63% to Elmer Moller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.