Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ilya Ivashka vs Harold Mayot
Team pages: Ilya Ivashka · Harold Mayot
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilya Ivashka
Harold Mayot
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ilya Ivashka
7-3 (W-L)
Harold Mayot
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilya Ivashka 1586 · Harold Mayot 1477
| Ilya Ivashka | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilya Ivashka (rating 1586 vs 1477).
- Ilya Ivashka is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ilya Ivashka | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9.1 | 10.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Melvin Kumar Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 17/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilya Ivashka vs Harold Mayot?
Our model gives 59% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.