Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Gijs Brouwer vs Yanki Erel
Team pages: Gijs Brouwer · Yanki Erel
Prediction summary
Winner
Gijs Brouwer
Yanki Erel
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Gijs Brouwer
6-4 (W-L)
Yanki Erel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gijs Brouwer 1499 · Yanki Erel 1555
| Gijs Brouwer | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanki Erel (rating 1499 vs 1555).
- Yanki Erel is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Gijs Brouwer makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Gijs Brouwer | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.5 | 13-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 45% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gijs Brouwer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/04 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Lucas Poullain M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/03 | James Beaven M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/03 | Marko Maric M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 18/02 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Metepec · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Yanki Erel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 31/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Radu Albot Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gijs Brouwer vs Yanki Erel?
Our model gives 67% to Yanki Erel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.