Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 05/08, 09:30
Prediction: Adrian Andreev vs Emilien Demanet
Team pages: Adrian Andreev · Emilien Demanet
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Andreev
Emilien Demanet
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Andreev
8-2 (W-L)
Emilien Demanet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Andreev 1581 · Emilien Demanet 1519
| Adrian Andreev | Emilien Demanet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Andreev (rating 1581 vs 1519).
- Adrian Andreev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adrian Andreev | Emilien Demanet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.8 | 10.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Andreev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Carles Cordoba Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mathys Domenc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Alexandr Binda M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Emilien Demanet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Raphael Perot M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Jack Loge M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Harold Huens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Felix Romeo M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Andreev vs Emilien Demanet?
Our model gives 61% to Adrian Andreev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.