Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topo
Team pages: Carlos Taberner · Marko Topo
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Taberner
Marko Topo
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Taberner
5-5 (W-L)
Marko Topo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Taberner 1494 · Marko Topo 1513
| Carlos Taberner | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Marko Topo dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Note: Carlos Taberner makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Carlos Taberner | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.1 | 11.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Taberner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Lorenzo Sonego Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 11/01 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Montemar · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/11 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Montemar · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/11 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/11 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/11 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Lima 2 · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Marko Topo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topo?
Our model gives 56% to Marko Topo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.