Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn · 06/08, 17:00
Prediction: Charles Frey vs Stewart Aronson
Team pages: Charles Frey · Stewart Aronson
Prediction summary
Winner
Charles Frey
Stewart Aronson
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Charles Frey
4-6 (W-L)
Stewart Aronson
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charles Frey 1408 · Stewart Aronson 1525
| Charles Frey | Stewart Aronson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stewart Aronson (rating 1408 vs 1525).
- Stewart Aronson is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Stewart Aronson makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Charles Frey | Stewart Aronson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.9 | 11.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charles Frey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Thomas Kennedy UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Brett Pearson UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Solal Pont UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Henry Ren UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Nikola Plavsic UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Seattle · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/12 | Dante Teramo UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/12 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/12 | Alan Jesudason UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Stewart Aronson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Thomas Kennedy UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/01 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Poonthong Komopisut UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/12 | Liam Kilmer UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/12 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | John Chin UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 29/08 | Carson Baker UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Dylan Charlap UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charles Frey vs Stewart Aronson?
Our model gives 75% to Stewart Aronson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.