Tennis · W75 Leipzig · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Lina Gjorcheska
Team pages: Alena Kovackova · Lina Gjorcheska
Prediction summary
Winner
Alena Kovackova
Lina Gjorcheska
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alena Kovackova
7-3 (W-L)
Lina Gjorcheska
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1588 · Lina Gjorcheska 1467
| Alena Kovackova | Lina Gjorcheska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alena Kovackova (rating 1588 vs 1467).
- Lina Gjorcheska dominates on serve: 6 aces and 45.2% break avg.
- Alena Kovackova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lina Gjorcheska makes many double faults (11.3/match).
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Lina Gjorcheska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8 | 11.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 11.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Sohyun Park W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Mia Ristic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Josy Daems W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Mirjana Jovanovic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Lina Gjorcheska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Anastasiia Firman W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Francisca Jorge Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Angela Fita Boluda Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Suzan Lamens French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Xinran Sun WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Lina Gjorcheska?
Our model gives 64% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.