Tennis · Challenger Hagen · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Chun Hsin Tseng vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Chun Hsin Tseng
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Chun Hsin Tseng
6-4 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chun Hsin Tseng 1499 · Tom Gentzsch 1568
| Chun Hsin Tseng | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1499 vs 1568).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 49.5% break avg.
- Note: Tom Gentzsch makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Chun Hsin Tseng | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.5 | 14.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 59% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chun Hsin Tseng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Gustavo Heide Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Moez Echargui Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/05 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chun Hsin Tseng vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 56% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.