Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Charlotte Van Zonneveld vs Lya Fernandez
Team pages: Charlotte Van Zonneveld · Lya Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Charlotte Van Zonneveld
Lya Fernandez
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Charlotte Van Zonneveld
3-7 (W-L)
Lya Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlotte Van Zonneveld 1468 · Lya Fernandez 1515
| Charlotte Van Zonneveld | Lya Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lya Fernandez (rating 1468 vs 1515).
- Note: Charlotte Van Zonneveld makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Lya Fernandez makes many double faults (8/match).
Statistics
| Charlotte Van Zonneveld | Lya Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.4 | 10.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 50% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlotte Van Zonneveld
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Ekaterina Agureeva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Carolina Gasparini W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Irina Balus W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Anna Ozerova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/02 | Julia Stusek W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Michelle Khomich W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/02 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/02 | Polina Skliar W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Lya Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Anna Kubareva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 21/05 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Manon Favier W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/05 | Laia Petretic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 09/05 | Yasmine Mansouri W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Iveta Dapkute W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/05 | Luciana Moyano W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/05 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlotte Van Zonneveld vs Lya Fernandez?
Our model gives 50% to Charlotte Van Zonneveld, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.